International Think Tank Forum 출장복명서

2019.5.17

□ 출장목적 및 개요

ㅇ 배경 및 목적

- 중국사회과학원 추천으로 국제싱크탱크포럼 참석 및 토론자 발표 요청

- 본 국제회의(International Think Tank Forum)에 연사로 초청받아 “The Building of A Community of Shared Future for Mankind” 주제에 대해 발표

- 국제사회에서의 한국, 국책연구기관의 역할 등을 소개하고 인류를 위한 통합발전 및 공유미래에 대한 세계적인 지도자, 석학, 정치, 경제분야의 전문가들이 한자리에 모여 혜안 공유

ㅇ 출장기간: 2019.5.14.(화)~5.17.(금), 총 3박 4일

ㅇ 방문지: 중국 북경 및 연변

ㅇ 출장자 및 기간

소속	성명	직위	출장기간
KDI 대학원	유종일	대학원장	2019.5.14.-17

□ 출장세부일정

Time			Activities
May 14 (Tuesday)	Full Day		Registration
May 15 (Wednesday)	Morning	9:30-10:10	Opening Ceremony
		10:10-11:40	Keynote Speech
	Afternoon	13:00-14:20	the Building of A Community of Shared Future for Mankind
		14:30-15:50	Globalization and the Belt and Road Initiative
		16:00-17:30	China’s Changes in 70 years and Reform & Opening-up
	Evening	19:00-20:30	Dinning
May 16 (Thursday)	Morning	9:30-11:30	Overseas Study and Talent Cultivation
	Afternoon	13:00-14:30	Sustainable Development
		14:40-16:10	Poverty Reduction and China’s Practice

□ 출장결과

ㅇ 5.15(수) Opening Plenary

- Leadership:

· Chen Zhu, Vice Chairman, Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress, : President, Western Returned Scholars Assothe People’s Republic of Chinaciation(Overseas-educated Scholars Association of China)

· Zou Xiaodong, Vice Minister, the United Front Work Department of CPC Central Committee: Vice Chairman, China Overseas Friendship Association

- Chair: WAng Pijun, Secretary General, Western Returned Scholars Association (Overseas-educated Scholars Association of China)

- Speaker:

· Mohan Munasinghe, Founder Chairman, Munasinghe Institute for Development: Shared the 2007 Nobel Prize for Peace as Vice Chair of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

· Mushahid Hussain Sayed, Senator & Chairman, Senate Foreign Affairs Committee, Pakistan: Funding Chairman, Pakistan-China Institute

· Paul Revay, Member of the Board of Trustees, Friends of Europe “Think Tank” Brussels

· Su Guoxia, Director General, Department of Comprehensive Affairs pokeswoman, State Council Leading Group Office of Poverty

· Alleviation and Development

· Wang Chunfa, Director, National Museum of China

· Wang Wen, Professor & Executive Dean, Chongyang Institute for Financial

· Studies, Renmin University of China (RDCY)

· Wang Xudong, Member, the CPC Leadership Team of the Ministry of Culture and Tourism; Director, the Palace Museum

· Zhang Yuyan, Senior Fellow & Director, Institute of World Economics and Politics (IWEP), Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS)；Member, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS)

ㅇ 5.15(수) Session : the Building of A Community of Shared Future for Mankind

- Chair: Zhang Shuhua, Director, Institute of Political Science, Chinese Academy of SocialSciences

- Speakers:

· Alexey Maslov, Dean, School of Asian Studies, Russian National Research University

· Daegeun Lim, Professor, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies

· Ejaz Akram, Professor, Religion & Politics, Faculty of Contemporary Studies, NDU

· Huang Ping, Director General, Institute of European Studies, Chinese Academyof Social Sciences (CASS)

· Jong-Il You, Dean, KDI (Korea Development Institute) School of Public Policy and Management

· Prem Sagar Poudel, Founder & President, Nepal-China Mutual Co-operation Society (NCMCS)

· Rajiv Ranjan, Teaching and Research (Associate Professor), Institute of Global Studies, Shanghai University

<발표 원고 전문>

Crisis of Globalization, Which Way Now?

May 15, 2019

Jong-Il You

Dean, KDI School of Public Policy and management

It is a great honor and pleasure to speak in front of so many distinguished participants at this important forum. I believe China is the most important neighbor for us Koreans and holds a key to the future of humanity. The theme of this forum, “China and the World: Openness, Cooperation, Win-Win”, succinctly expresses our hope for the future of humanity.

This is no time for optimism, however, as the ideals of openness and cooperation are being severely tested. The breakdown of the trade talks between China and the US last week amplifies our anxieties. While we are all hoping for a deal that will end the trade conflicts between the two largest economies, even such a deal will not easily reverse the recent trend toward protectionism, populism and ethnic nationalism.

One simple but important measure of openness in the global economy is the ratio of the global trade to the global output, and this ratio reversed its rising trend after the Global Financial Crisis and stays today at a lower level than its peak before the Crisis. The meltdown of the Wall Street in 2008 and the ensuing Global Financial Crisis was not a “black swan”, a rare accident or a crazy aberration. It was, in my view, a culmination of the inevitable crisis of the Neoliberal Globalization that took place since the 1980s, guided by neoliberalism or market fundamentalism.

Since the 1980s, economic integration of the world increased dramatically, and cross-border transactions grew explosively, especially the financial flows. The neoliberal faith in markets seemed triumphant for a couple of decades. Francis Fukuyama proclaimed the “End of History”, and Thomas Freidman declared a “Flat World”.

However, discontents with the Neoliberal Globalization were brooding under the surface. The Asian Financial Crisis was a painful reminder of how things could go wrong, as were the anti-globalization protests in the streets of Seattle and elsewhere and the September 11th attack on the World Trade Center. Dani Rodrik began to question if globalization had gone too far, and Joseph Stiglitz, having seen so much from the helm of the World Bank, articulated discontents with globalization. Then came the economic shocks - the Global Financial Crisis, the Great Recession and the Eurozone crisis - followed by political backlashes to globalization - Brexit, Trump, right-wing populism, etc.

A key problem of the Neoliberal Globalization was the rising inequality. The rules of globalization during the heydays of neoliberalism were amplifying rather than curbing inequalities that markets generate. Another main problem was financial instability. The explosive growth of cross-border financial flows with little regulation and inadequate safeguards resulted in recurrent financial crises, culminating in the Global Financial Crisis.

Resolving distributional conflicts and providing social safety nets and financial safeguards fall in the domain of politics. Markets may or may not be self-adjusting in the narrow sense of reaching the market equilibria, but, as Karl Polanyi explained majestically, societies need protection from market forces. For markets to function effectively and serve the needs of the society, political solutions can never be done away with.

Dani Rodrik has formulated a trilemma capturing this problem. I suppose many of you are familiar with the Open-economy Tri-lemma, that is, incompatibility among capital mobility, fixed exchange rate system, and monetary autonomy. Rodrik has created a political extension of the trilemma, which is about incompatibility among deep integration, nation state system, and democracy.

For Rodrik, as for most of us, democracy is of primary importance and shouldn’t be sacrificed. Then, two solutions to the trilemma are possible. One is global democracy in the sense of creating democratic political mechanisms at the global level to deal with problems of globalized markets. But Rodrik thinks this is a fantasy, given the difficulty of political integration even in the European Union. The other solution, which Rodrik thinks is the only practical one, is that we should do away with deep or integration neoliberalism has brought us to and institute greater border controls based on democratic politics at the national level.

While Rodrik’s solution seems sensible enough, it must ultimately be rejected, in my view. It may be misused to justify the recent populist backlashes in the name of democratic control, and damage existing global cooperation. We can never give up on global cooperation, since global problems do not go away simply because we turn away from them. Donald Trump may pull out of the Paris Agreement, but the global warming only accelerates.

We can develop more effective global cooperation only by more democratic political engagements at the global level. There is no denying that political integration is more difficult than economic integration and that a global federal government may be out of reach for generations to come. But it is not impossible to develop more democratic and more effective global governance. Even the highly imperfect version of global governance that we have today represents a huge progress from the days of colonial domination and imperialist rivalries.

I am sure that many Chinese commemorated the centennial anniversary of the May 4th Movement earlier this month. Of course, Koreans celebrated the centenary of the March 1st Movement. These movements were important parts of “the singular anticolonial upsurge of the spring of 1919” around the world, inspired by the Wilsonian principle of self-determination and his vision of liberal internationalism. However, the principle of self-determination, liberal internationalism and global cooperation came to rule the day only after WWII. Despite the betrayal of Wilson’s promises, valiant anti-colonial struggles around the world and the lessons from the unspeakable horrors of the Great Depression and WWII led to a fundamental change in international relations.

So, I submit, we should make every effort to overcome obstacles and keep on the path toward better global governance, aiming ultimately for a truly democratic and globally integrated world. For now, we may need to create a better balance between economic integration and political integration by instituting some more democratic controls at the borders, but we must at the same time try to minimize such controls and find other ways, including more domestic reforms and better global cooperation, in dealing with the problems stemming from market integration.

In short, we need both democratizing of globalization and globalizing of democracy.

ㅇ 5.15(수) Session : China’s Changes in 70 years and Reform & Opening-up

- Chair: Ren Xiao, Professor, Center for the Study of Chinese Foreign Policy, Fudan University

- Speakers:

· Atul Dalakoti, Executive Director, Fedetation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry

· Dan Urse, Insolvency Practitioner, Dinu, Urse Si Asociatii Sprl

· Jin Canrong, Professor & Associate Dean, School of International Studies, Renmin University of China

· Leela Mani Paudyal, Ambassador, Nepal to People’s Republic of China

· Michael Brie, Senior Fellow, Institute for Critical Social Analysis, the Rosa

· Luxemburg Foundation, Berlin

· Mushahid Hussain Sayed, Senator & Chairman, Senate Foreign Affairs Committee, Pakistan; Founding Chairman, Pakistan-China Institute

· Tang Lin, Principal Solicitor, Lin Tang & Co. Lawyers, Australia

· Tuğrul Keskin, Professor, Department of History, College of Liberal Arts, Shanghai University

· Wan Guanghua, Director, Institute of World Economy, Fudan University

ㅇ 5.15(수) Session : Globalization and the Belt and Road Initiative

- Chair: Gao Zhikai, Executive Member, Western Returned Scholars Association; President, Yale Law School Association of China

- Speakers:

· Ben Young, Vice President (Student Affairs), The Hong Kong Polytechnic University

· Bo Zhiyue, Executive Deputy Dean, New Era Development Research Institute, Xi’an Jiaotong-Liverpool University

· Chen Yonglan, Managing Director, Eurazeo S.E.

· Jia Jinjing, Assistant Dean, Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies, Renmin University of China

· Jia Wenshan, Professor, Communication and Global Studies, School of Journalism & Communication, Renmin University of China

· Li Li, Deputy Director General, Research Department, Ministry of Commerce of the People’s Republic of China

· Michael Brie, Senior Fellow, Institute for Critical Social Analysis, the Rosa Luxemburg Foundation, Berlin

· Mohammad Hassan Khani, Professor, International Relation, Head of Department, Imam Sadiq University, Iran

· Paul Révay, Member of the Board of Trustees, Friends of Europe “Think Tank”, Brussels Piao Guanghai, Professor, Institute of Information Studies, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences

· Razvan Ioan Paunescu, Honorific President, The Romania-China Chamber of Commerce and Industry; Managing Partner, Leaua Damcali Deaconu Paunescu-LDDP Attorneys & Counselor Shahid Hashmat, High Commissioner of Pakistan to Sri Lanka, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Government of Pakistan

· Sun Jinsong, Professor & Doctoral Supervisor, Teaching and Research Department of Scientific Socialism, the Central Party School

· Yahya R. Kamalipour, Professor & Former Chair, Department of Journalism and Mass Communication, North Carolina A&T State University; Founding President, Global Communication Association

· Yubaraj Sangroula, Executive Director & Principal, Kathmandu School of law, Purbanchal University Nepal

ㅇ 5.15(수) Dinner (Speakers and Chairman only)

ㅇ 5.16(목) Session: Overseas Study and Talent Cultivation

- Chair: Yao Wang, Former Executive Director, Boao Forum for Asia; Secretary General, Education Forum for Asia

- Speakers: Charles Wang-wai Ng, Associate Vice-President (Research and Development), The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology(HKUST)

- Conrado E. Iñigo, Jr., Chairman, the Philippine Association of Colleges and Universities Commission on Accreditation, President, Lyceum of the Philippines University

- Horace H.S. Ip, Vice-President (Student Affairs), City University of Hong Kong

- Jeffrey Lehman, Vice Chancellor, NYU Shanghai; 11th President, Cornell University

- Jiang Bo, Vice President, Tongji University

- Noor Azizi Ismail, Vice Chancellor & President, University Malaysia Kelantan

- Olukemi O. Sawyerr, Inaugural Assistant Vice President (Academic Innovation), California State Polytechnic University, Pomona

- Tan Eng Chye, President, the National University of Singapore (NUS)

- Summary Speaker: Tao Qinghua, President, China Institute of Global Talents; Member, Standing Committee of Beijing Municipal People's Congress

ㅇ 5.16(목) Session: Poverty Reduction and China's Practice

- Chair: Li Xinyu, Director General, Research Center for People-to-People Diplomacy, the Chinese People’s Association for Friendship with Foreign Countries(CPAFFC)

- Speakers: John Hong, Managing Director, Corporate Affairs & Brand Marketing, Standard Chartered Bank (China) Limited

- Ji Xiu, Deputy Director, Standing Committee of the Dingxi People's Congress; Secretary, the Weiyuan County Party Committee of the Communist Party of China

- Su Guoxia, Director General, Department of Comprehensive Affairs Spokeswoman, State Council Leading Group Office of Poverty Alleviation and Development

- Wang Jun, Deputy Secretary General, China Foundation for Poverty Alleviation

- Zhang Xi, President, PKU Youth Think Tank

ㅇ 5.16(목) Session: Sustainable Development: Green·Collaboration·Innovation

- Chair: Tan Xianchun, Vice Director, Institute for Sustainable Development Strategy, Institute of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences

- Speakers: Hu Tao, Chairman, Professional Association for China’s Environment

- Jiang Nanqing, Secretary General, China Plastics Reuse and Recycling Association

- Joël Ruet, President, The Bridge Tank

- Li Zhijian, Director General, Asia-pacific Innovation Economic Research Institute of Guangdong

- Mamadou Bachir Kanoute, Executive Director, Ecology and Population, Third World National Environmental Development Initiative

- Mohan Munasinghe, Founder Chairman, Munasinghe Institute for Development(MIND); Shared the 2007 Nobel Prize for Peace as Vice Chair of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

- Nara Luvsan, Senior Programme Officer, UNEP

- Nicholas You, Urban Sustainability Expert, Guangzhou Institute for Urban Innovation; Founder & Honorary Chairman, the UN-Habitat World Urban Campaign Steering Committee

- Tan Xianchun, Vice Director, Institute for Sustainable Development Strategy, Institute of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences

ㅇ 5.17(금 ) Return to Korea